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4.13 Non-linear regressionIB Maths: Applications and Interpretation HL: Flashcards

What these 14 flashcards ask

  • What does a least squares regression curve minimise?
  • What is a residual?
  • What does SS{res} measure?
  • What does R^2 tell you?
  • What is the relationship between R^2 and r for a linear model?
  • Is R^2 alone a good way to choose between models?
  • Form of an exponential model?
  • Form of a power model?
  • Form of a sine model, and its period?
  • What is the amplitude of y=a\sin(bx+c)+d?
  • In N=3.50\times1.38^t, what does 1.38 mean?
  • Why is extrapolation risky?
  • A model has R^2=0.95. How should you interpret this?
  • What types of regression can be examined?

Exam questions on 4.13 Non-linear regression

  1. The number of bacteria NN (in thousands) in a culture is counted every hour for six hours. At times t=0,1,2,3,4,5,6t=0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 hours the counts are 3.5,4.8,6.7,9.2,12.7,17.5,24.23.5, 4.8, 6.7, 9.2, 12.7, 17.5, 24.2. Use your GDC.
    Interpret the value 1.381.38 in the model N=3.50×1.38tN=3.50\times1.38^{t}, and state the link between this model and a geometric sequence.2 marks
  2. The braking distance dd metres of a car was measured at speeds vv km/h. The results for (v,d)(v, d) were (20,6.4)(20, 6.4), (30,9.5)(30, 9.5), (40,16.9)(40, 16.9), (50,23.0)(50, 23.0), (60,34.6)(60, 34.6), (70,43.8)(70, 43.8), (80,58.7)(80, 58.7). Using your GDC, linear regression gives r=0.982r=0.982, and quadratic regression gives d=0.00940v2−0.0719v+3.88d=0.00940v^2-0.0719v+3.88 with sum of squared residuals SSres=4.67SS_{res}=4.67 and R2=0.998R^2=0.998.
    A student says: "The quadratic model has a larger R2R^2 than the linear model (0.998>0.9640.998>0.964), so it will give a reliable braking distance at 150150 km/h." Give two reasons why this conclusion is not justified.2 marks
  3. Astronomers record the mean distance dd of each planet from the Sun, in astronomical units (AU), and its orbital period TT in years: Mercury (0.387,0.241)(0.387, 0.241), Venus (0.723,0.615)(0.723, 0.615), Earth (1.000,1.000)(1.000, 1.000), Mars (1.524,1.881)(1.524, 1.881), Jupiter (5.203,11.86)(5.203, 11.86), Saturn (9.537,29.46)(9.537, 29.46). A power model T=a×d bT=a\times d^{\,b} is to be fitted. Use your GDC.
    Use your GDC to find the power regression model T=a×d bT=a\times d^{\,b}, giving aa and bb to 3 significant figures.3 marks
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Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).