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Language of hypothesis testingAQA A-Level Maths: Mind map

Hypotheses
1-tail and 2-tail
Critical region

Hypothesis testing

binomial language

H0H_0H1H_1α\alphapp-value
Significance level
$p$-value
Conclusion

Exam questions on Language of hypothesis testing

  1. A seed company claims that 60% of its seeds germinate. A gardener suspects that the true percentage is lower. She plants 20 seeds and records the number XX that germinate. She will test her suspicion at the 5% significance level, assuming that X∼B(20,p)X\sim B(20,p), where pp is the probability that a seed germinates. For reference, P(X≤7)=0.0210P(X\le7)=0.0210 and P(X≤8)=0.0565P(X\le8)=0.0565 when p=0.6p=0.6.
    State the critical value of the test and write down the acceptance region.2 marks
  2. A spinner has four equal-looking sections, one of which is red. The manufacturer says that the probability of the spinner landing on red is 0.250.25. A teacher thinks the spinner may be biased, in either direction. She spins it 20 times and records the number YY of reds, using Y∼B(20,p)Y\sim B(20,p) and a 10% significance level. When p=0.25p=0.25: P(Y≤1)=0.0243P(Y\le1)=0.0243, P(Y≤2)=0.0913P(Y\le2)=0.0913, P(Y≥8)=0.1018P(Y\ge8)=0.1018 and P(Y≥9)=0.0409P(Y\ge9)=0.0409.
    The teacher says: "A 10% significance level means there is a 10% chance that the spinner is biased." Explain why this is incorrect.2 marks
  3. A café owner believes that 30% of customers order a cold drink. She runs an advert that is intended to increase this proportion. Afterwards she picks 15 customers at random and finds that 9 of them order a cold drink. Let XX be the number of cold drinks ordered by 15 customers, and test at the 5% significance level whether the proportion has increased.
    Write down the null and alternative hypotheses, and state the distribution of XX if the null hypothesis is true.3 marks
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Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).