Language of hypothesis testingAQA A-Level Maths: Flashcards
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What is the null hypothesis?
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- What is the null hypothesis?
- The hypothesis assumed true when carrying out the test; it gives a single value, such as .
- What is the alternative hypothesis?
- What you accept if there is sufficient evidence against , such as or .
- When is a test 1-tail?
- When has a direction, or .
- When is a test 2-tail?
- When says only that the parameter has changed: .
- What is a test statistic?
- The value from the sample used to decide, for a binomial test the number of successes .
- What is the significance level?
- The probability of rejecting when is true.
- What is the critical region?
- The values of the test statistic that lead to rejecting .
- What is the critical value?
- The boundary of the critical region.
- What is the acceptance region?
- The values of the test statistic for which is not rejected.
- What is a -value?
- The probability, assuming is true, of a result at least as extreme as the one observed.
- Decision rule using the -value?
- Reject if the -value the significance level.
- How do you split 5% in a 2-tail test?
- At most in each tail.
- What is the actual significance level?
- The probability of the critical region when is true; it is often less than the stated level for discrete data.
- Upper tail probability ?
- .
Exam questions on Language of hypothesis testing
- A seed company claims that 60% of its seeds germinate. A gardener suspects that the true percentage is lower. She plants 20 seeds and records the number that germinate. She will test her suspicion at the 5% significance level, assuming that , where is the probability that a seed germinates. For reference, and when .State the critical value of the test and write down the acceptance region.2 marks
- A spinner has four equal-looking sections, one of which is red. The manufacturer says that the probability of the spinner landing on red is . A teacher thinks the spinner may be biased, in either direction. She spins it 20 times and records the number of reds, using and a 10% significance level. When : , , and .The teacher says: "A 10% significance level means there is a 10% chance that the spinner is biased." Explain why this is incorrect.2 marks
- A café owner believes that 30% of customers order a cold drink. She runs an advert that is intended to increase this proportion. Afterwards she picks 15 customers at random and finds that 9 of them order a cold drink. Let be the number of cold drinks ordered by 15 customers, and test at the 5% significance level whether the proportion has increased.Write down the null and alternative hypotheses, and state the distribution of if the null hypothesis is true.3 marks
Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).