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The binomial distributionEdexcel A-Level Maths: Flashcards

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Four conditions for a binomial model?

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Four conditions for a binomial model?
Fixed nn; two outcomes; constant pp; independent trials.
What does X∼B(n,p)X\sim B(n,p) mean?
XX counts successes in nn independent trials, each with probability pp.
Formula for P(X=r)P(X=r)?
(nr)pr(1−p)n−r\binom nr p^r(1-p)^{n-r}
What does (nr)\binom nr count?
The ways of choosing which rr of the nn trials are successes.
What does the calculator's cumulative binomial function give?
P(X≤r)P(X\le r)
Write P(X≥r)P(X\ge r) using a cumulative probability.
1−P(X≤r−1)1-P(X\le r-1)
Write P(X<r)P(X<r) using a cumulative probability.
P(X≤r−1)P(X\le r-1)
Write P(a≤X≤b)P(a\le X\le b) using cumulative probabilities.
P(X≤b)−P(X≤a−1)P(X\le b)-P(X\le a-1)
Probability of at least one success in nn trials?
1−(1−p)n1-(1-p)^n
X∼B(5,0.5)X\sim B(5,0.5): P(X=0)P(X=0)?
0.55=0.031250.5^5=0.03125
What must you do when you divide an inequality by log⁡0.4\log0.4?
Reverse the inequality sign, since log⁡0.4<0\log0.4<0.
Give an example where independence fails for a binomial model.
Students from one class, who may travel or behave in the same way.
A probability found from one binomial can serve as pp for another. When?
Two-stage problems, e.g. the number of accepted samples.

Exam questions on The binomial distribution

  1. A student guesses the answer to every question on a 10-question multiple-choice test. Each question has four options, exactly one of which is correct. The random variable XX is the number of questions answered correctly, and X∼B(10,0.25)X\sim B(10,0.25).
    Find P(X≥4)P(X\ge4).2 marks
  2. A gardener plants 12 seeds. Each seed germinates with probability 0.90.9, independently of the others. The random variable YY is the number of seeds that germinate.
    Find P(Y=10)P(Y=10).2 marks
  3. A machine produces bolts. Each bolt is defective with probability 0.050.05, independently of the others. Bolts are packed in samples of 20, and XX is the number of defective bolts in a sample.
    State the distribution of XX and find the probability that a sample contains exactly 2 defective bolts.3 marks
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Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).