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Hypothesis test for the mean of a Poisson distributionEdexcel A-Level Further Maths: Mind map

Setting up
One-tailed

Poisson hypothesis test

testing the mean rate

Po(λ)\mathrm{Po}(\lambda)H0:λ=λ0\mathrm{H}_0:\lambda=\lambda_0tails
Critical region
Two-tailed
Conclusion

Exam questions on Hypothesis test for the mean of a Poisson distribution

  1. A help desk historically receives calls at a mean rate of 33 per hour, modelled by a Poisson distribution. After a publicity campaign, the manager records 77 calls in a randomly chosen hour and wants to test, at the 5%5\% significance level, whether the mean rate of calls has increased.
    Write down the conclusion of the test, in context.2 marks
  2. In a long-running textbook, typing errors occur at a mean rate of 1.21.2 per page, modelled by a Poisson distribution. A new editor checks 55 randomly chosen pages and finds 22 errors in total. A test is carried out at the 5%5\% significance level to see whether the mean rate of errors has decreased.
    Find the critical region for this test, and state the actual significance level of the test.2 marks
  3. A factory's machines have historically broken down at a mean rate of 44 per week. During a randomly chosen two-week period there are 1414 breakdowns. The manager believes that the weekly rate has changed. Breakdowns are assumed to occur at random, independently and at a constant average rate, and the test is carried out at the 10%10\% significance level.
    State suitable hypotheses for the test, where λ\lambda is the mean number of breakdowns per week, and the distribution of the number of breakdowns in the two-week period under H0\mathrm{H}_0.3 marks
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Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).