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Hypothesis test for the parameter of a geometric distributionEdexcel A-Level Further Maths: Mind map

Hypotheses
Probabilities

Geometric hypothesis test

testing the parameter p

X∼Geo(p0)X\sim\mathrm{Geo}(p_0)H0:p=p0\mathrm{H}_0:p=p_0one observation
Critical region
Two-tailed
Conclusion

Exam questions on Hypothesis test for the parameter of a geometric distribution

  1. A scratch-card company claims that the probability that a card wins a prize is 0.20.2, independently for each card. A customer buys cards one at a time and has her first win on the 1212th card. She suspects that the probability of winning is lower than the company claims and carries out a test at the 5%5\% significance level. Let XX be the number of cards bought up to and including the first win.
    Find the critical region for the test.2 marks
  2. A manufacturer says that the probability that a screen it makes is defective is 0.020.02, independently for each screen. An inspector tests screens one at a time and finds the first defective screen at the 22nd screen tested. She suspects that the probability of a defective screen is higher than 0.020.02 and carries out a test at the 5%5\% significance level. Let XX be the number of screens tested up to and including the first defective one.
    Write down the conclusion of the test, in context.2 marks
  3. A website claims that each visitor clicks on an advert with probability 0.10.1, independently of other visitors. An analyst suspects that the probability is lower. She counts the number of visitors XX up to and including the first visitor who clicks, and will test the claim at the 5%5\% significance level.
    State suitable hypotheses for the test, where pp is the probability that a visitor clicks on the advert, and state the distribution of XX under H0\mathrm{H}_0.3 marks
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Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).