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Poisson model and probabilitiesAQA A-Level Further Maths: Mind map

Conditions
Formula
Cumulative

Poisson model

events in an interval

Po(λ)\mathrm{Po}(\lambda)mean = variancee−λe^{-\lambda}
Mean and variance
Scaling
Exam tips

Exam questions on Poisson model and probabilities

  1. Faults occur at random, independently and at a constant average rate of 2.5 per metre in a long roll of fabric. The number of faults, XX, in one metre is modelled by X∼Po(2.5)X\sim\mathrm{Po}(2.5).
    Find the probability that a 2 metre length of the fabric contains no faults.2 marks
  2. A call centre receives calls at random at a constant average rate of 6 per hour. The number of calls, YY, received in one hour is modelled by Y∼Po(6)Y\sim\mathrm{Po}(6).
    The manager notices that calls are much more frequent between 12 noon and 1 pm than at other times of the day. Explain why Po(6)\mathrm{Po}(6) is not suitable as a model for the number of calls in every hour of the working day.2 marks
  3. The number of typing errors on a page of a manuscript is modelled by X∼Po(1.8)X\sim\mathrm{Po}(1.8). Errors on different pages occur independently of one another.
    Find P(X≥3)\mathrm{P}(X\ge3).3 marks
See the full worksheet

Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).