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Type I and Type II errorsAQA A-Level Further Maths: Mind map

Definitions
In context
Binomial

Type I and II errors

wrong decisions in a test

Type IType IIcritical region
Poisson
Critical region
Exam tips

Exam questions on Type I and Type II errors

  1. A manufacturer claims that 30% of its cereal boxes contain a prize. To test whether the proportion is greater than 30%, a sample of 20 boxes is taken. Let XX be the number of boxes in the sample that contain a prize and pp the proportion of all boxes that contain a prize. The test is H0:p=0.3\mathrm{H}_0:p=0.3 against H1:p>0.3\mathrm{H}_1:p>0.3, and H0\mathrm{H}_0 is rejected if X≥10X\ge10.
    Find the significance level of the test if the critical region were changed to X≥9X\ge9.2 marks
  2. The number of calls received by a call centre in an hour is modelled by Y∼Po(λ)Y\sim\mathrm{Po}(\lambda). To test H0:λ=6\mathrm{H}_0:\lambda=6 against H1:λ<6\mathrm{H}_1:\lambda<6, the manager counts the calls in one hour and rejects H0\mathrm{H}_0 if Y≤2Y\le2.
    The manager wants the probability of a Type I error to be at most 5%. Find the largest critical region of the form Y≤cY\le c that she can use.2 marks
  3. A seed company claims that the probability that a seed germinates is 0.80.8. A gardener plants 15 seeds and suspects that the true probability is lower. Let XX be the number of seeds that germinate and pp the probability that a seed germinates. She tests H0:p=0.8\mathrm{H}_0:p=0.8 against H1:p<0.8\mathrm{H}_1:p<0.8 at the 5% significance level, using X∼B(15,p)X\sim\mathrm{B}(15,p).
    Find the critical region for the test.3 marks
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Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).