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Pay-off matrices and play-safe strategiesAQA A-Level Further Maths: Revision notes

Section 1

Two-person zero-sum games and pay-off matrices

In a two-person zero-sum game two players each choose a strategy at the same time, and one player's gain is exactly the other's loss. The game is shown as a pay-off matrix:

  • rows are the strategies of the row player (Rowan), columns are those of the column player (Colin);
  • each entry is the pay-off to the row player for that pair of choices;
  • a negative entry means Rowan loses, which is a gain for Colin.

Colin's pay-off matrix is the negative of the transpose of Rowan's: his strategies become the rows and every sign is changed. To construct a matrix from a description, work out the pay-off for every combination, row by row, using the stated rule. To interpret an entry, say who gains, by how much, and in what units. For example, if the entry in row 2, column 3 is −5-5 and the pay-off is in pounds, then if Rowan plays his second strategy and Colin his third, Rowan loses £5 to Colin.

Key termszero-sum gamepay-off matrixstrategy
Common mistake

Reading a pay-off matrix as Colin's gains. The entries are pay-offs to the row player unless the question says otherwise.

Exam tip

Check which player the matrix is for before finding any play-safe strategy.

Section 2

Play-safe strategies

A play-safe strategy guards against the worst outcome, assuming the opponent plays to hurt you.

  • Rowan (maximiser): find the minimum of each row, then choose the row with the largest of these. This is the maximin.
  • Colin (minimiser of Rowan's pay-off): find the maximum of each column, then choose the column with the smallest of these. This is the minimax.

Example, for (3−12104−251)\begin{pmatrix} 3 & -1 & 2 \\ 1 & 0 & 4 \\ -2 & 5 & 1 \end{pmatrix}: row minima −1,0,−2-1, 0, -2 so maximin =0=0, play row 2. Column maxima 3,5,43, 5, 4 so minimax =3=3, play column 1. Every game has play-safe strategies; they only give a stable outcome in some games. If Colin's matrix is used instead, Colin finds the minimum of each of his rows and chooses the largest, which gives the same result.

Key termsplay-safe strategymaximinminimax
Common mistake

Taking the row maxima or column minima. Rowan plays safe by looking at the worst case in each row, and Colin by the worst case in each column.

Exam tip

Write the row minima beside the matrix and the column maxima below it before choosing.

Section 3

Stable solutions and the value of the game

A game has a stable solution (a saddle point) when maximin == minimax.

  • The entry at that row and column is the value of the game.
  • It is stable because neither player can do better by changing strategy alone: the entry is the smallest in its row, so if Rowan stays in that row Colin has no better column, and the largest in its column, so if Colin stays in that column Rowan has no better row.
  • At a stable solution, both players use their play-safe strategies.

If maximin ≠\neq minimax, there is no stable solution (it always holds that maximin ≤\leq minimax), and the value of the game lies between them. For the matrix above the value is between 00 and 33. Optimal play then needs mixed strategies (covered later).

Key termsstable solutionsaddle pointvalue of the game
Common mistake

Saying a game is stable because the maximin and minimax are close. They must be exactly equal.

Exam tip

To prove a stable solution exists, show both numbers: maximin and minimax, state they are equal, and give the value.

Section 4

Proving existence or non-existence of a stable solution

To prove whether a stable solution exists, show the working in order:

  1. Write the row minima and state the maximin and the row it comes from.
  2. Write the column maxima and state the minimax and the column it comes from.
  3. Compare. Equal means a stable solution exists, at that row and column, with value equal to the common number. Different means no stable solution exists.

Worked example: (425316102)\begin{pmatrix} 4 & 2 & 5 \\ 3 & 1 & 6 \\ 1 & 0 & 2 \end{pmatrix}. Row minima 2,1,02, 1, 0, so maximin =2=2 (row 1). Column maxima 4,2,64, 2, 6, so minimax =2=2 (column 2). They are equal, so the game is stable at (row 1, column 2) with value 22.

To explain the value in context: when both play safe, the row player gains 22 units per play and the column player loses 22.

Key termsmaximinminimaxvalue
Exam tip

If a question gives the matrix for Colin instead, negate and transpose it first, or find Colin's maximin from his own pay-offs.

Common mistake

Forgetting to name the strategies. Say 'row 1 and column 2', not just 'the value is 2'.

That's the notes covered.

Carry on to the next subtopic.

Exam questions on Pay-off matrices and play-safe strategies

  1. Two companies, Rowan Ltd and Colbert Ltd, each choose one of three advertising strategies at the same time. The pay-off matrix for Rowan, in percentage points of market share gained by Rowan (a negative entry is a loss for Rowan and a gain for Colbert), is (3−12104−251)\begin{pmatrix} 3 & -1 & 2 \\ 1 & 0 & 4 \\ -2 & 5 & 1 \end{pmatrix}. Rows are Rowan's strategies and columns are Colbert's.
    Show that this game does not have a stable solution.2 marks
  2. A supermarket chain, Firm F, and its rival choose pricing strategies at the same time. The pay-off matrix for Firm F, in percentage points of market share gained by Firm F, is (425316102)\begin{pmatrix} 4 & 2 & 5 \\ 3 & 1 & 6 \\ 1 & 0 & 2 \end{pmatrix}. Rows are Firm F's strategies and columns are the rival's. The game is zero-sum.
    Interpret the value of the game in the context of the problem.2 marks
  3. Xavier and Yara play a game. At the same time, Xavier chooses 1, 2 or 3 and Yara chooses 2 or 3. If the sum of the two numbers is even, Yara pays Xavier the product of the two numbers, in pounds. If the sum is odd, Xavier pays Yara the sum of the two numbers, in pounds.
    Construct the pay-off matrix for Xavier, with a row for each of Xavier's choices and a column for each of Yara's choices.3 marks
See the full worksheet

Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).