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Linear combinations of Normal random variablesEdexcel A-Level Further Maths: Flashcards

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Question

If $X\sim N(\mu_x,\sigma_x^2)$ and $Y\sim N(\mu_y,\sigma_y^2)$ are independent, what is the distribution of $aX+bY$?

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If X∼N(μx,σx2)X\sim N(\mu_x,\sigma_x^2) and Y∼N(μy,σy2)Y\sim N(\mu_y,\sigma_y^2) are independent, what is the distribution of aX+bYaX+bY?
N(aμx+bμy, a2σx2+b2σy2)N\left(a\mu_x+b\mu_y,\ a^2\sigma_x^2+b^2\sigma_y^2\right).
What is the distribution of aX−bYaX-bY for independent Normal X,YX,Y?
N(aμx−bμy, a2σx2+b2σy2)N\left(a\mu_x-b\mu_y,\ a^2\sigma_x^2+b^2\sigma_y^2\right): variances add.
Why are variances added when variables are subtracted?
Both variables introduce uncertainty, so the spread of the difference is larger, never smaller.
What condition is needed to add variances?
The variables must be independent.
What is the distribution of 2X2X for X∼N(μ,σ2)X\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)?
N(2μ, 4σ2)N(2\mu,\ 4\sigma^2).
What is the distribution of X1+X2X_1+X_2 for independent copies of X∼N(μ,σ2)X\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)?
N(2μ, 2σ2)N(2\mu,\ 2\sigma^2).
Why does 2X2X have larger variance than X1+X2X_1+X_2?
Because 4σ2>2σ24\sigma^2>2\sigma^2: independent values partly cancel each other's variation.
How do you find P(P>A)\mathrm{P}(P>A) for independent Normal PP and AA?
Form D=P−AD=P-A, state its Normal distribution, and find P(D>0)\mathrm{P}(D>0).
What is the distribution of the mean Xˉ\bar X of nn independent N(μ,σ2)N(\mu,\sigma^2) values?
N(μ, σ2n)N\left(\mu,\ \frac{\sigma^2}{n}\right).
Find Var(3X−2Y)\mathrm{Var}(3X-2Y) given Var(X)=9\mathrm{Var}(X)=9, Var(Y)=4\mathrm{Var}(Y)=4 and independence.
9(9)+4(4)=979(9)+4(4)=97.
What distribution does a linear combination of independent Normal variables have?
A Normal distribution.
What is the first step in a probability question involving several Normal variables?
Define the combined variable and state its distribution N(mean,variance)N(\text{mean},\text{variance}).

Exam questions on Linear combinations of Normal random variables

  1. The mass of an apple, AA g, is modelled by A∼N(150,122)A\sim N(150, 12^2) and the mass of a pear, PP g, by P∼N(200,152)P\sim N(200, 15^2). The masses of apples and pears are independent.
    Find the probability that a randomly chosen pear is heavier than a randomly chosen apple.2 marks
  2. The independent random variables XX and YY are distributed as X∼N(20,32)X\sim N(20, 3^2) and Y∼N(15,22)Y\sim N(15, 2^2). The random variable W=3X−2YW=3X-2Y.
    Find P(W<25)\mathrm{P}(W<25).2 marks
  3. The length of a metal rod, XX cm, is modelled by X∼N(50,0.42)X\sim N(50, 0.4^2). The lengths of different rods are independent.
    Two rods are chosen at random and placed end to end. Find the probability that their total length exceeds 100.5100.5 cm.3 marks
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Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).