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Linear combinations of Normal random variablesEdexcel International A Level Further Maths: Flashcards

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What is $\mathrm{E}(aX\pm bY)$?

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What is E(aX±bY)\mathrm{E}(aX\pm bY)?
aE(X)±bE(Y)a\mathrm{E}(X)\pm b\mathrm{E}(Y).
What is Var(aX±bY)\mathrm{Var}(aX\pm bY) for independent XX and YY?
a2Var(X)+b2Var(Y)a^2\mathrm{Var}(X)+b^2\mathrm{Var}(Y), with a plus sign for both sum and difference.
If X∼N(μx,σx2)X\sim\mathrm{N}(\mu_x,\sigma_x^2) and Y∼N(μy,σy2)Y\sim\mathrm{N}(\mu_y,\sigma_y^2) are independent, what is X+YX+Y?
N(μx+μy, σx2+σy2)\mathrm{N}(\mu_x+\mu_y,\ \sigma_x^2+\sigma_y^2).
What is X−YX-Y for independent normal XX and YY?
N(μx−μy, σx2+σy2)\mathrm{N}(\mu_x-\mu_y,\ \sigma_x^2+\sigma_y^2): the variances still add.
What is aX+bYaX+bY for independent normal XX and YY?
N(aμx+bμy, a2σx2+b2σy2)\mathrm{N}(a\mu_x+b\mu_y,\ a^2\sigma_x^2+b^2\sigma_y^2).
What condition is needed for the variance formula?
XX and YY must be independent.
How do you find P(X>Y)\mathrm{P}(X>Y)?
Find the distribution of X−YX-Y and calculate P(X−Y>0)\mathrm{P}(X-Y>0).
What is the distribution of X1+⋯+XnX_1+\dots+X_n for independent observations from N(μ,σ2)\mathrm{N}(\mu,\sigma^2)?
N(nμ, nσ2)\mathrm{N}(n\mu,\ n\sigma^2).
What is the distribution of nXnX for X∼N(μ,σ2)X\sim\mathrm{N}(\mu,\sigma^2)?
N(nμ, n2σ2)\mathrm{N}(n\mu,\ n^2\sigma^2).
Why is Var(X1+X2)\mathrm{Var}(X_1+X_2) smaller than Var(2X)\mathrm{Var}(2X)?
Independent observations partly cancel, so 2σ2<4σ22\sigma^2<4\sigma^2. 2X2X uses the same value twice, so the error doubles.
What do you use to standardise a normal variable?
The standard deviation, variance\sqrt{\text{variance}}: Z=W−μσZ=\frac{W-\mu}{\sigma}.
Is a linear combination of independent normal variables normal?
Yes, it is normal with the mean and variance given by the formulae.
What are the steps for a combination problem?
Define the new variable, find its mean and variance, state its normal distribution, then standardise.

Exam questions on Linear combinations of Normal random variables

  1. The time XX minutes that a student takes to complete the first section of a test is modelled by N(20,42)\mathrm{N}(20,4^2). The time YY minutes taken to complete the second section is modelled by N(15,32)\mathrm{N}(15,3^2). XX and YY are independent.
    Find the probability that the first section takes longer than the second.2 marks
  2. The random variables XX and YY are independent, with X∼N(12,32)X\sim\mathrm{N}(12,3^2) and Y∼N(7,22)Y\sim\mathrm{N}(7,2^2).
    Find P(3X−2Y>30)\mathrm{P}(3X-2Y>30).2 marks
  3. Four adult passengers, chosen at random, ride in a lift. The mass of an adult passenger is modelled by N(75,122)\mathrm{N}(75,12^2) kg and the mass of the luggage that one passenger carries by N(18,52)\mathrm{N}(18,5^2) kg. All the masses are independent. A calculator may be used.
    Find the probability that the total mass of the four passengers, without their luggage, exceeds 320320 kg.3 marks
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Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).