All flashcards topics

Normal approximation to the binomial and PoissonEdexcel International A Level Further Maths: Flashcards

Card 1 of 130 of 13 known

Question

When is a normal approximation to $\mathrm{B}(n,p)$ suitable?

Tap or press Space to reveal

Tap card or press Space to flip

See all 13 cards
When is a normal approximation to B(n,p)\mathrm{B}(n,p) suitable?
When nn is large and pp is close to 0.50.5 (a check is np>5np>5 and nq>5nq>5).
When is a normal approximation to Po(λ)\mathrm{Po}(\lambda) suitable?
When λ\lambda is large, usually λ>10\lambda>10.
Normal approximation to X∼B(n,p)X\sim\mathrm{B}(n,p)?
X≈N(np, npq)X\approx\mathrm{N}(np,\ npq) where q=1−pq=1-p.
Normal approximation to X∼Po(λ)X\sim\mathrm{Po}(\lambda)?
X≈N(λ, λ)X\approx\mathrm{N}(\lambda,\ \lambda).
What is a continuity correction?
An adjustment of ±0.5\pm0.5 that allows for a discrete variable being approximated by a continuous one.
P(X=k)\mathrm{P}(X=k) with a continuity correction?
P(k−0.5<Y<k+0.5)\mathrm{P}(k-0.5<Y<k+0.5).
P(X≤k)\mathrm{P}(X\le k) with a continuity correction?
P(Y<k+0.5)\mathrm{P}(Y<k+0.5).
P(X≥k)\mathrm{P}(X\ge k) with a continuity correction?
P(Y>k−0.5)\mathrm{P}(Y>k-0.5).
P(X<k)\mathrm{P}(X<k) with a continuity correction?
P(Y<k−0.5)\mathrm{P}(Y<k-0.5), because X<kX<k means X≤k−1X\le k-1.
P(X>k)\mathrm{P}(X>k) with a continuity correction?
P(Y>k+0.5)\mathrm{P}(Y>k+0.5), because X>kX>k means X≥k+1X\ge k+1.
What is the second parameter in N(μ,σ2)\mathrm{N}(\mu,\sigma^2)?
The variance, not the standard deviation.
Why is N(λ,λ)\mathrm{N}(\lambda,\lambda) a natural approximation for a Poisson distribution?
A Poisson distribution has mean λ\lambda and variance λ\lambda, and the normal distribution is matched to both.
How do you find the smallest integer kk with P(X≤k)≥p\mathrm{P}(X\le k)\ge p?
Solve k+0.5−μσ≥z\frac{k+0.5-\mu}{\sigma}\ge z using the percentage point, then round kk up to an integer.

Exam questions on Normal approximation to the binomial and Poisson

  1. The random variable XX has distribution B(80,0.4)\mathrm{B}(80,0.4), and a normal approximation is to be used.
    Hence calculate an approximation to P(X≤30)\mathrm{P}(X\le30).2 marks
  2. The number of emails XX received by a help desk in one hour has distribution Po(25)\mathrm{Po}(25), and a normal approximation is to be used.
    Hence calculate an approximation to P(X≥30)\mathrm{P}(X\ge30).2 marks
  3. A component is defective with probability 0.450.45, independently of other components. In a random sample of 150150 components, XX is the number that are defective.
    Using a suitable normal approximation, find P(X=70)\mathrm{P}(X=70).3 marks
See the full worksheet

Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).