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Poisson approximation to the binomialEdexcel International A Level Further Maths: Mind map

What this mind map covers

  • Conditions
  • The approximation
  • Why it works
  • Calculating
  • Accuracy
  • Exam tips

Exam questions on Poisson approximation to the binomial

  1. A factory produces light bulbs. Each bulb is independently defective with probability 0.02. A box contains 200 bulbs, and XX is the number of defective bulbs in a box, so X∼B(200,0.02)X\sim B(200,0.02).
    Use a Poisson approximation to find the probability that a box contains more than 5 defective bulbs.2 marks
  2. An airline finds that each passenger booked on a flight independently fails to turn up with probability 0.03. A flight has 120 passengers booked, and XX is the number who fail to turn up, so X∼B(120,0.03)X\sim B(120,0.03).
    Use the Poisson approximation to find the probability that at most 2 passengers fail to turn up.2 marks
  3. A rare genetic condition affects 1 in 500 newborn babies, independently of one another. In one year a region has 1000 births, and XX is the number of those babies born with the condition.
    State the exact distribution of XX, name a suitable approximating distribution, and give a reason why the approximation is suitable.3 marks
See the full worksheet

Written by the Exaim team, led by Shaun Daswani (Head of Upper Secondary, Improve ME Institute; MSc Financial Mathematics, Imperial College London; BSc, UCL) and Jason Daswani (operational lead, Improve ME Institute; LSE).